MLB forecast slate — 2026-08-15

10:00 a.m. provisional — one-time publication rehearsal.

This report republishes the immutable morning forecast produced at 10:04 a.m. ET. It does not incorporate later lineup, starter, postponement, weather, in-game, or outcome information.

Run summary

Game forecasts

Start ET Away Home Predicted winner Away win Home win Expected runs (A-H) Probable starters Lineups Stage Health Material warnings
1:10 PM ET Chicago White Sox Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 45.85% 54.15% 4.44-4.96 Anthony Kay / Troy Melton confirmed lineup_confirmed amber starters not confirmed; 22 fallback feature values
2:20 PM ET St. Louis Cardinals Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs 34.01% 65.99% 4.00-5.13 Michael McGreevy / Matthew Boyd projected provisional amber projected lineups; starters not confirmed; 4 fallback feature values
3:07 PM ET New York Yankees Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 52.26% 47.74% 4.73-3.95 Cam Schlittler / Braydon Fisher projected provisional amber projected lineups; starters not confirmed; 4 fallback feature values
4:05 PM ET Colorado Rockies San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 45.41% 54.59% 4.22-4.89 Michael Lorenzen / Logan Webb projected provisional amber projected lineups; starters not confirmed; 14 fallback feature values
4:10 PM ET Washington Nationals New York Mets New York Mets 45.88% 54.12% 4.22-4.76 Brad Lord / Sean Manaea projected provisional amber projected lineups; starters not confirmed; 4 fallback feature values
6:10 PM ET Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays 38.30% 61.70% 4.17-4.35 Kyle Bradish / Ian Seymour projected provisional amber projected lineups; starters not confirmed; 14 fallback feature values; component disagreement
6:40 PM ET Miami Marlins Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 49.78% 50.22% 4.74-5.10 Ryan Gusto / Brady Singer projected provisional amber projected lineups; starters not confirmed; 14 fallback feature values
7:10 PM ET Philadelphia Phillies Minnesota Twins Philadelphia Phillies 50.11% 49.89% 4.83-4.47 Jesús Luzardo / Connor Prielipp projected provisional amber projected lineups; starters not confirmed; 4 fallback feature values
7:10 PM ET Seattle Mariners Houston Astros Houston Astros 37.26% 62.74% 4.53-4.86 Emerson Hancock / Hayden Wesneski projected provisional amber projected lineups; starters not confirmed; 24 fallback feature values; component disagreement
7:10 PM ET San Diego Padres Cleveland Guardians San Diego Padres 58.17% 41.83% 4.91-4.65 TBD / Joey Cantillo projected provisional amber projected lineups; starters not confirmed; away starter TBD; 7 fallback feature values
7:15 PM ET Boston Red Sox Pittsburgh Pirates Boston Red Sox 65.09% 34.91% 5.00-4.14 Sonny Gray / Jared Jones projected provisional amber projected lineups; starters not confirmed; 14 fallback feature values; component disagreement
7:15 PM ET Milwaukee Brewers Los Angeles Dodgers Milwaukee Brewers 54.94% 45.06% 4.95-3.56 Jacob Misiorowski / Justin Wrobleski projected provisional amber projected lineups; starters not confirmed; 4 fallback feature values; component disagreement
7:15 PM ET Arizona Diamondbacks Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 45.40% 54.60% 4.99-4.72 Eduardo Rodriguez / Grant Holmes projected provisional amber projected lineups; starters not confirmed; 4 fallback feature values
9:38 PM ET Kansas City Royals Los Angeles Angels Kansas City Royals 53.30% 46.70% 4.32-4.80 Randy Dobnak / Reid Detmers projected provisional amber projected lineups; starters not confirmed; 4 fallback feature values; component disagreement
9:40 PM ET Texas Rangers Athletics Texas Rangers 61.75% 38.25% 5.71-4.67 MacKenzie Gore / J.T. Ginn projected provisional amber projected lineups; starters not confirmed; 4 fallback feature values

Interpretation and limitations

Verification